Aliff Methodology
How Aliff replaces instinct-driven federal capture with a systematic, repeatable process — the 9-Phase Win Loop and four proprietary analytical engines that quantify the bid/no-bid and Price-to-Win decisions most BD teams handle by gut.
9-Phase Win Loop
A 9-phase, 4-stage continuous capture methodology that blends quantitative AI analysis with expert human judgment across the federal contract lifecycle — from pre-RFP intelligence through recompete management.
Recompete Prediction Engine
Forecasts when federal contracts will recompete by analyzing contract end dates, modification histories, option year patterns, and agency acquisition forecasts. Surfaces opportunities 6-24 months before competitors learn about them.
Incumbent Vulnerability Scoring
Generates a 0-100 displacement potential score for any federal incumbent by analyzing CPARS proxies, protest records, modification history, organizational stability, pricing competitiveness, and market dynamics. Outputs explicit weaknesses, displacement strategies, and win themes.
Pricing Intelligence Engine
Calculates federal Price-to-Win targets by benchmarking your bid against historical award values, 450,000+ GSA CALC labor rate data points, regional labor rates, and observable competitor pricing patterns. Outputs a target price, recommended range with confidence intervals, and risk assessment.
Win Probability Engine
Calculates a 0-100 Win Probability (pWin) score for any federal opportunity by weighing 8 quantitative factors. Outputs a GO/NO-GO recommendation, ranked strengths and gaps with mitigation strategies, and a confidence indicator.
Methodology FAQs
What is the Aliff methodology?
The Aliff methodology combines a 9-Phase Win Loop (continuous federal capture process) with four proprietary analytical engines: Recompete Prediction, Incumbent Vulnerability Scoring, Pricing Intelligence, and Win Probability. Quantitative analysis happens in the engines; strategic judgment happens in the capture phases. The combination is designed to focus pursuit investment on opportunities with credible win paths.
What are the four engines that power Aliff Solutions?
Recompete Prediction Engine — forecasts when contracts approach rebid (6-24 months ahead). Incumbent Vulnerability Scoring — produces a 0-100 displacement potential score by analyzing CPARS proxies, protests, modifications, and stability. Pricing Intelligence Engine — calculates Price-to-Win targets using 450,000+ GSA CALC data points. Win Probability Engine — produces 0-100 pWin scores using an 8-factor Bayesian model.
How is this different from Shipley methodology?
Shipley defines the proposal development process (color teams, capture phases, proposal structure). The Aliff 9-Phase Win Loop incorporates Shipley-aligned proposal work in Phases 05-06 but extends both directions — adding pre-RFP intelligence and forecasting (Phases 01-03) and post-award recompete management (Phase 09). The Win Loop also adds the four proprietary engines that operationalize the quantitative analysis Shipley methodology calls for but doesn't provide.
Where can I see the methodology applied to a real opportunity?
Aliff offers a 30-minute walkthrough on any active pursuit. Bring an opportunity from your pipeline and we'll run it through the engines live — pWin scoring, vulnerability assessment on the incumbent, Price-to-Win range, and recompete timeline if applicable. Schedule via the contact page.