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Win Probability Calculator

This is a fast, segment-level preview: FPDS-calibrated base win-rate (prior) plus competition intensity (expected offers) for a NAICS + agency code. For a full opportunity-specific pWin, create a free account.

NAICS

Digits only.

Agency Code

FPDS awarding agency code (digits).

Estimated Value (USD)

Set-Aside (optional)

Extent Competed (optional)

0%Challenging

Win Probability: Challenging

Base Win-Rate (Prior)

0.00%

Segment: NAICS — • Agency — • —

Expected Offers (Competition Intensity)

—

Model: —

Top Drivers (Preview)

These are attribution signals for the expected offers model. Full pWin drivers require opportunity-specific context.

Run the calculator to see attributions.