Data-Driven GovCon Intelligence
Market research, trend analysis, and predictive intelligence powered by quantitative models. Make informed decisions backed by data, not guesswork — and feed insights directly into your contracting strategy.
Published Reports
The State of GovCon Recompetes 2026
Federal contract recompetes are the single largest source of capturable opportunities for established GovCon firms. This report analyzes publicly available FPDS, USASpending, and SAM.gov data to quantify recompete volume by agency, NAICS, and value band — and to identify the signals that predict whether an incumbent will hold or lose a recompete.
Federal IT Recompete Calendar 2026-2027
Federal IT services represent roughly $80B in annual contract obligations, of which approximately $52B is concentrated in IDIQs, BPAs, and follow-on contracts that come up for recompete on predictable schedules. This report maps the expected recompete calendar across eight quarters (Q3 2026 through Q2 2028), with agency breakdown, value-band distribution, and vulnerability indicators per quarter.
GovCon CMMC Readiness Index — Q2 2026
DoD's Cybersecurity Maturity Model Certification (CMMC) is now a contractual requirement. Yet our analysis of DIBCAC and C3PAO assessment data, combined with FPDS contract obligation patterns, suggests that the majority of the Defense Industrial Base is still 12-24 months behind the certification timeline implied by 2027 DFARS 252.204-7021 contract clause incorporation. This report quantifies the readiness gap, identifies the most common control gaps blocking Level 2 attainment, and forecasts the realistic certification curve through 2028.
What Research Does Aliff Publish?
Federal IT Spending Forecast
Analysis of projected federal IT budgets across civilian and defense agencies, highlighting growth areas and emerging opportunities.
SLED Market Opportunity Map
Comprehensive overview of state, local, and education procurement trends, cooperative purchasing vehicles, and key buyers.
Recompete Calendar & Predictions
Upcoming contract recompetes with incumbent analysis, predicted timeline windows, and competitive dynamics assessment.
Set-Aside & Small Business Trends
Tracking set-aside utilization rates, mentor-protege opportunities, and emerging small business categories across agencies.
What Intelligence Reports Are Available?
Scheduled reports delivered to your inbox, powered by Aliff's intelligence engine.
Weekly Market Briefing
Key opportunities, awards, and competitive movements from the past week.
Monthly Industry Pulse
Macro trends, budget analysis, and strategic recommendations for the month ahead.
Quarterly Forecast
Deep-dive analysis of procurement patterns, pricing trends, and market predictions.
Annual GovCon Outlook
Comprehensive year-ahead forecast covering all segments, agencies, and growth vectors.
What Are the Four Pillars of Aliff Intelligence?
Every research report is informed by our four core analytical models — the quantitative foundation that sets Aliff apart from traditional GovCon intelligence.
Recompete Predictions
ML-predicted recompetes 6-24 months before solicitation.
Incumbent Vulnerability
0-100 displacement scoring based on performance and pricing data.
Optimal Pricing Bands
Price-to-Win calculations based on historical award analysis.
Win Probability
Multi-factor pWin scoring for data-driven GO/NO-GO decisions.
How Do You Access the Full Research Library?
All research and intelligence reports are available to Aliff Labs subscribers. Explore our platform and services, or book a demo to see the full library in action.
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